[2] Prediction of future climate changes is a key problem in the modern climate science. To solve this problem, one needs to take into consideration all the factors affecting the climate and its changes. Currently, the most popular line of climate change research is to perform numerical experiments based on models of general circulation of atmosphere and ocean, which treat all key processes of climate impact with the most reasonable way at the moment. Climate changes can be conditionally divided into two types. The first type includes the changes caused by influences that are external to the climate system; for example, variations in the concentrations of greenhouse gases, aerosols, solar constant, etc. The second type of changes is conditioned by the oscillations in the climate system unrelated to external influences. The numerical experiments with models [Houghton et al., 2001; Volodin and Diansky, 2006] indicate that the forced climate changes in the next couple of centuries will most likely be more significant than the natural oscillations. It is these forced climate changes caused by variations in the concentrations of greenhouse and other gases that are considered in this paper.
Powered by TeXWeb (Win32, v.2.0).